Investors leaving behind a week full of central bank decisions and entering a quieter one, with the RBA policy decision, UK’s GDP Q4 2022, and Canada’s employment report. In Europe, on Monday the retail sales data will attract the attention and a speech by ECB President Lagarde.
On the earnings front, tech companies reported mixed financial results. Apple (AAPL) missed both on earnings and revenue. Alphabet earnings (EPS) and revenue came below expectations. Amazon reported better-than-expected revenue but missed on EPS.
Monday, February 6
Previous Consensus Forecast
02:00 AM AU TD-MI Inflation Gauge MoM JAN 0.2% 0.3%
02:30 AM AU Retail Sales MoM Final DEC 1.7% -0.6% -3.9%
09:00 AM DE Factory Orders MoM DEC -5.3% 2% 1.9%
10:30 AM EA S&P Global Construction PMI JAN 42.6 43.1
10:30 AM FR S&P Global Construction PMI JAN 41 44.5
10:30 AM DE S&P Global Construction PMI JAN 41.7 43
10:30 AM IT S&P Global Construction PMI JAN 47 50.4
10:40 AM GB BoE L Mann Speech 11:00 AM GB New Car Sales YoY JAN 18.3% 16.0%
11:30 AM GB S&P Global/CIPS Construction PMI JAN 48.8 46.5
12:00 PM EA Retail Sales MoM DEC 0.8% -2.5% -2.3%
12:00 PM EA Retail Sales YoY DEC -2.8% -2.7% -2.6%
12:00 PM FR Retail Sales MoM DEC -1% 0.5%
12:00 PM FR Retail Sales YoY DEC -0.6% -4.8%
05:00 PM CA Ivey PMI s.a JAN 33.4 34
08:00 PM EA ECB President Lagarde Speech
Monday’s earnings reports: ATVI BYSI KLDO ON TKR ENR ACT FN ZI SWKS
Tuesday, February 7
02:01 AM GB BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY JAN 6.5% 3.9%
02:30 AM AU Balance of Trade DEC A$13.201B A$8.5B
02:30 AM AU Exports MoM DEC -0.4%
02:30 AM AU Imports MoM DEC -1.5%
05:30 AM AU RBA Interest Rate Decision 3.1% 3.35% 3.35%
05:35 AM JP 30-Year JGB Auction 1.649%
07:00 AM JP Leading Economic Index Prel DEC 97.4 98
07:00 AM JP Coincident Index Prel DEC 99.3 99.5
09:00 AM DE Industrial Production MoM DEC 0.2% -0.6% -1.4%
09:00 AM GB Halifax House Price Index YoY JAN 2% 1.8%
09:00 AM GB Halifax House Price Index MoM JAN -1.5% -0.3%
09:45 AM FR Balance of Trade DEC €-13.77B € -7.9B
09:45 AM FR Current Account DEC €-6.8B € -1.6B
09:45 AM FR Exports DEC €51.035B
09:45 AM FR Imports DEC €64.8B
09:45 AM FR Private Non Farm Payrolls QoQ Prel Q4 0.6% 0.3%
10:00 AM FR Foreign Exchange Reserves JAN €237.68B
10:00 AM ES Industrial Production YoY DEC -1.1% 3.4%
11:00 AM GB BoE Ramsden Speech
12:00 PM GB 5-Year Treasury Gilt Auction 3.665%
12:15 PM GB BoE Pill Speech
12:30 PM DE 10-Year Bund/€i Auction 0.16%
12:30 PM DE 30-Year Bund/€i Auction -0.17%
01:00 PM GB BBA Mortgage Rate JAN 6.41% 6.6%
03:30 PM CA Balance of Trade DEC C$-0.04B C$-1B C$ 0.14B
03:30 PM CA Exports DEC C$64.37B C$64.6B
03:30 PM CA Imports DEC C$64.41B C$64.4B
03:30 PM US Balance of Trade DEC $-61.5B $-68.5B $-68.8B
03:30 PM US Exports DEC $251.9B $249.4B
03:30 PM US Imports DEC $313.4B $318.2B
03:55 PM US Redbook YoY FEB/04 4.9%
05:00 PM US IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism FEB 42.3 42.9
05:30 PM GB BoE Cunliffe Speech
07:00 PM EA ECB Schnabel Speech
07:40 PM US Fed Chair Powell Speech
07:45 PM CA BoC Gov Macklem Speech
09:00 PM US Fed Barr Speech
10:00 PM US Consumer Credit Change DEC $27.96B $24B $ 23.4B
11:30 PM US API Crude Oil Stock Change FEB/03 6.33M
Tuesday’s earnings reports: SAVE ATEN ARMK NCR WU CNC CMG CARR INNV FTNT FISV PRU LUMN TRVG ILMN XYL PAYC
Wednesday, February 7
02:30 AM AU RBA Chart Pack
11:00 AM IT Retail Sales MoM DEC 0.8% -0.2%
11:00 AM IT Retail Sales YoY DEC 4.4% 1.8%
02:00 PM US MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate FEB/03 6.19%
02:00 PM US MBA Mortgage Applications FEB/03 -9%
02:00 PM US MBA Mortgage Refinance Index FEB/03 466.6
02:00 PM US MBA Mortgage Market Index FEB/03 232.4
02:00 PM US MBA Purchase Index FEB/03 184.3
04:15 PM US Fed Williams Speech
05:00 PM US Fed Barr Speech
05:00 PM US Wholesale Inventories MoM DEC 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
05:30 PM US EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change FEB/03 4.14M
05:30 PM US EIA Gasoline Stocks Change FEB/03 2.576M
05:30 PM US EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change FEB/03 2.315M
05:30 PM US EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change FEB/03 0.1M
05:30 PM US EIA Distillate Stocks Change FEB/03 2.32M
05:30 PM US EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change FEB/03 -0.328M
05:30 PM US EIA Gasoline Production Change FEB/03 0.612M
05:30 PM US EIA Crude Oil Imports Change FEB/03 2.593M
05:30 PM US EIA Refinery Crude Runs Change FEB/03 -0.02M
07:00 PM US WASDE Report
08:45 PM US Fed Waller Speech
Wednesday’s earnings reports: BLDA AFRM UAA YUM CVS EB EFX D FOXA GT DIS COTY WYNN MGM MAT HOOD RPD PYCR
Thursday, February 8
02:01 AM GB RICS House Price Balance JAN -42% -50
02:30 AM AU Building Permits MoM Final DEC -8.8% 18.5% 18.5%
02:30 AM AU Building Permits YoY Final DEC -14.1% -3.8%
02:30 AM AU Private House Approvals MoM Final DEC -2.5% –
08:00 AM JP Machine Tool Orders YoY JAN 1.0% 0.5%
09:00 AM DE Inflation Rate YoY Prel JAN 8.6% 8.9% 9.1%
09:00 AM DE Inflation Rate MoM Prel JAN -0.8% 0.9% 0.9%
09:00 AM DE Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM Prel JAN -1.2% 1.4% 1.2%
09:00 AM DE Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY Prel JAN 9.6% 10% 9.9%
03:30 PM US Initial Jobless Claims FEB/04 183K 194K 189.0K
03:30 PM US Jobless Claims 4-week Average FEB/04 191.75K 192K
03:30 PM US Continuing Jobless Claims JAN/28 1655K 1660K
05:30 PM US EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change FEB/03 -151Bcf
07:00 PM DE Bundesbank Nagel Speech
08:00 PM EA ECB Guindos Speech 08:00 PM US 30-Year Bond Auction 3.585%
EU Special European Council Meeting
Thursday’s earnings reports: APDN APO BAX BE RL SWI TRI EXPE DUK K WMG NET PEP YELP PM PYPL HLT HIMX LYFT TPR
Friday, February 9
01:50 AM JP PPI MoM JAN 0.5% 0.3% 0.4%
01:50 AM JP PPI YoY JAN 10.2% 9.6% 10.6%
02:30 AM AU RBA Statement on Monetary Policy
09:00 AM GB GDP MoM DEC 0.1% -0.3% -0.1%
09:00 AM GB GDP Growth Rate QoQ Prel Q4 -0.3% 0% 0.1%
09:00 AM GB GDP Growth Rate YoY Prel Q4 1.9% 0.4% 0.2%
09:00 AM GB Goods Trade Balance DEC £-15.623B £ -17.8B
09:00 AM GB Goods Trade Balance Non-EU DEC £-4.666B £ -8.1B
09:00 AM GB Manufacturing Production MoM DEC -0.5% -0.2% -0.2%
09:00 AM GB Industrial Production MoM DEC -0.2% -0.2% 0.2%
09:00 AM GB Manufacturing Production YoY DEC -5.9% -6.1% -6.0%
09:00 AM GB Balance of Trade DEC £-1.802B £ -2.8B
09:00 AM GB Construction Orders YoY Q4 8.5% -10.4%
09:00 AM GB Construction Output YoY DEC 4% 2.9%
09:00 AM GB GDP YoY DEC 0.2% -0.2% -0.1%
09:00 AM GB Industrial Production YoY DEC -5.1% -5.3% -5.0%
11:00 AM IT Industrial Production MoM DEC -0.3% -0.2% -0.1%
11:00 AM IT Industrial Production YoY DEC -3.7% -1.1%
11:30 AM GB Business Investment QoQ Prel Q4 -2.5% 1.7%
11:30 AM GB Business Investment YoY Prel Q4 1.3% 1.0%
03:00 PM GB NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker JAN 0.1% 0.2%
03:30 PM CA Unemployment Rate JAN 5% 5.1% 5.2%
03:30 PM CA Employment Change JAN 104K 17.3K 15K
03:30 PM CA Full Time Employment Chg JAN 84.5K 5K
03:30 PM CA Participation Rate JAN 65% 64.9%
03:30 PM CA Part Time Employment Chg JAN 19.5K 10K
03:30 PM CA Average Hourly Wages YoY JAN 5.2% 4.4%
03:45 PM DE Current Account DEC €16.9B €12.5B
04:00 PM GB BoE Pill Speech
05:00 PM US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prel FEB 64.9 64.9 65
05:00 PM US Michigan Consumer Expectations Prel FEB 62.7 62.9 63
05:00 PM US Michigan Current Conditions Prel FEB 68.4 68 68.7
05:00 PM US Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations Prel FEB 2.9% 2.8%
05:00 PM US Michigan Inflation Expectations Prel FEB 3.9% 3.8%
07:30 PM US Fed Waller Speech
08:00 PM EA ECB Schnabel Speech
08:00 PM US Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count FEB/10 599
08:00 PM US Baker Hughes Total Rig Count FEB/10 759
11:00 PM US Fed Harker Speech
Friday’s earnings reports: SPB CBT COOP GPN MHK PRLB MGA MTD IQV
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