An interesting week starts with investors focusing on the CPI report, retail sales and industrial production data.
Monday, February 13
03:00 PM US Fed Bowman Speech
06:00 PM US Consumer Inflation Expectations JAN 5% 4.7%
EA Eurogroup Meeting
Monday’s earnings reports: AIN PEO BLDE CAR HIVE OWL KLDO CHKP MNDY PLTR
Tuesday February 14 2023 – CPI Day
Actual Previous Consensus
01:30 AM AU Westpac Consumer Confidence Change FEB 5% 1.2%
01:30 AM AU Westpac Consumer Confidence Index FEB 84.3 85.3
01:50 AM JP GDP Growth Rate QoQ Prel Q4 -0.2% 0.5% 0.4%
01:50 AM JP GDP Growth Annualized Prel Q4 -0.8% 2% 1.6%
01:50 AM JP GDP External Demand QoQ Prel Q4 -0.6% 0.4% 0.3%
01:50 AM JP GDP Capital Expenditure QoQ Prel Q4 1.5% -0.2% -0.3%
01:50 AM JP GDP Private Consumption QoQ Prel Q4 0.1% 0.5% 0.3%
01:50 AM JP GDP Price Index YoY Prel Q4 -0.3%
02:30 AM AU NAB Business Confidence JAN -1 1
06:30 AM JP Industrial Production MoM Final DEC 0.2% -0.1% -0.1%
06:30 AM JP Industrial Production YoY Final DEC -0.9% -2.8%
06:30 AM JP Capacity Utilization MoM DEC -1.4% -0.2%
08:30 AM FR Unemployment Rate Q4 7.3% 7.3% 7.4%
09:00 AM DE Wholesale Prices MoM JAN -1.6% -1.4%
09:00 AM DE Wholesale Prices YoY JAN 12.8% 8.8%
09:00 AM GB Claimant Count Change JAN 19.7K 25.0K
09:00 AM GB Unemployment Rate DEC 3.7% 3.7% 3.80%
09:00 AM GB Employment Change NOV 27K 40K 20.0K
09:00 AM GB Average Earnings incl. Bonus (3Mo/Yr) DEC 6.4% 6.2% 6.4%
09:00 AM GB Labour Productivity QoQ Prel Q4 0.1% -0.3%
09:00 AM GB Average Earnings excl. Bonus (3Mo/Yr) DEC 6.4% 6.5% 6.4%
09:00 AM GB HMRC Payrolls Change JAN 28K 53.0K
12:00 PM EA Employment Change YoY Prel Q4 1.8% 1.9%
12:00 PM EA Employment Change QoQ Prel Q4 0.3% 0.5%
12:00 PM EA GDP Growth Rate QoQ 2nd Est Q4 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
12:00 PM EA GDP Growth Rate YoY 2nd Est Q4 2.3% 1.9% 1.9%
01:00 PM US NFIB Business Optimism Index JAN 89.8 90.5
03:30 PM US Inflation Rate YoY JAN 6.5% 6.2% 6.3%
03:30 PM US Core Inflation Rate YoY JAN 5.7% 5.5% 5.4%
03:30 PM US Core Inflation Rate MoM JAN 0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
03:30 PM US Inflation Rate MoM JAN 0.1% 0.4% 0.4%
03:30 PM US CPI JAN 296.797 298.606 298
03:55 PM US Redbook YoY FEB/11 4.3%
06:00 PM US Fed Logan Speech
09:05 PM US Fed Williams Speech
11:30 PM US API Crude Oil Stock Change FEB/10 -2.184M
Tuesday’s earnings reports: ANDE ADPT ABNB AKAM LAB BL CLF BTU KO ES GDDY UPST NU UDMY SAFE TRIP
Wednesday, February 15 2023
Actual Previous Consensus
02:15 AM AU RBA Gov Lowe Speech
06:30 AM JP Tertiary Industry Index MoM DEC -0.2% 0.2%
09:00 AM GB Inflation Rate YoY JAN 10.5% 10.2% 10.3%
09:00 AM GB Inflation Rate MoM JAN 0.4% -0.4% -0.3%
09:00 AM GB Core Inflation Rate YoY JAN 6.3% 6.2% 7.0%
09:00 AM GB PPI Core Output MoM JAN 0.1% -0.2%
09:00 AM GB PPI Core Output YoY JAN 12.4% 10.6%
09:00 AM GB Core Inflation Rate MoM JAN 0.5% -0.5% -0.4%
09:00 AM GB PPI Input MoM JAN -1.1% -0.6%
09:00 AM GB PPI Input YoY JAN 16.5% 13.8%
09:00 AM GB PPI Output MoM JAN -0.8% -0.6%
09:00 AM GB Retail Price Index MoM JAN 0.6% -0.2% -0.4%
09:00 AM GB Retail Price Index YoY JAN 13.4% 13.3% 13.0%
09:00 AM GB PPI Output YoY JAN 14.7% 12.4%
10:00 AM ES CPI JAN 109.9 109.6
10:00 AM ES Core Inflation Rate YoY JAN 7% 7.5%
10:00 AM ES Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM Final JAN -0.1% -0.5% -0.5%
10:00 AM ES Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY Final JAN 5.5% 5.8% 5.8%
10:00 AM ES Inflation Rate YoY Final JAN 5.7% 5.8% 5.8%
10:00 AM ES Inflation Rate MoM Final JAN 0.2% -0.3% -0.3%
12:00 PM EA Industrial Production MoM DEC 1% -0.8% -0.5%
12:00 PM EA Balance of Trade DEC €-11.7B € -30.8B
12:00 PM EA Industrial Production YoY DEC 2% -0.6% -0.3%
12:30 PM DE 30-Year Bund Auction 2.05%
02:00 PM US MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate FEB/10 6.18%
02:00 PM US MBA Mortgage Applications FEB/10 7.4%
02:00 PM US MBA Mortgage Refinance Index FEB/10 549.3
02:00 PM US MBA Mortgage Market Index FEB/10 249.5
02:00 PM US MBA Purchase Index FEB/10 190
03:15 PM CA Housing Starts JAN 248.6K 235K 238K
03:30 PM CA New Motor Vehicle Sales DEC 123.87K 90.9K
03:30 PM CA Manufacturing Sales MoM Final DEC 0% -1.8% -1.8%
03:30 PM CA Wholesale Sales MoM Final DEC 0.5% -1.7% -1.8%
03:30 PM US Retail Sales MoM JAN -1.1% 1.6% 1.2%
03:30 PM US Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM JAN -1.1% 0.7% 0.6%
03:30 PM US NY Empire State Manufacturing Index FEB -32.9 -17.75 -19
03:30 PM US Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM JAN -0.7% 0.4%
03:30 PM US Retail Sales YoY JAN 6% 4.5%
04:00 PM EA ECB President Lagarde Speech
04:15 PM US Industrial Production YoY JAN 1.6% 1.1%
04:15 PM US Industrial Production MoM JAN -0.7% 0.5% 0.2%
04:15 PM US Manufacturing Production MoM JAN -1.3% 0.8% -0.3%
04:15 PM US Capacity Utilization JAN 78.8% 79.1% 78.9%
04:15 PM US Manufacturing Production YoY JAN -0.5% -0.9%
05:00 PM US Business Inventories MoM DEC 0.4% 0.3% 0.3%
05:00 PM US NAHB Housing Market Index FEB 35 37 38
05:00 PM US Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM DEC -0.3% 0.3%
05:30 PM US EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change FEB/10 2.423M
05:30 PM US EIA Gasoline Stocks Change FEB/10 5.008M
05:30 PM US EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change FEB/10 1.043M
05:30 PM US EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change FEB/10 -0.028M
05:30 PM US EIA Distillate Stocks Change FEB/10 2.932M
05:30 PM US EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change FEB/10 -0.115M
05:30 PM US EIA Gasoline Production Change FEB/10 -0.35M
05:30 PM US EIA Crude Oil Imports Change FEB/10 0.367M
05:30 PM US EIA Refinery Crude Runs Change FEB/10 0.449M
Wednesday stocks earnings reports: WAB ATOM AIG AMPL ADI GOLD BIIB SAM KHC WIRE MRO CSCO SHOP TWLO ZG SAND FSLY TTD RBLX
Thursday February 16 2023
Actual Previous Consensus
01:50 AM JP Balance of Trade JAN ¥-1448.5B ¥-3871.5B ¥-2200.0B
01:50 AM JP Machinery Orders MoM DEC -8.3% 3% 2.1%
01:50 AM JP Machinery Orders YoY DEC -3.7% -6% -0.8%
01:50 AM JP Exports YoY JAN 11.5% 0.8% 1.3%
01:50 AM JP Imports YoY JAN 20.6% 18.4% 18%
01:50 AM JP Foreign Bond Investment FEB/11 ¥1127.5B
01:50 AM JP Stock Investment by Foreigners FEB/11 ¥-18.6B
02:00 AM AU Consumer Inflation Expectations FEB 5.6% 5.7%
02:30 AM AU Employment Change JAN -14.6K 20K 15K
02:30 AM AU Full Time Employment Chg JAN 17.6K
02:30 AM AU Part Time Employment Chg JAN -32.2K
02:30 AM AU Unemployment Rate JAN 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
02:30 AM AU Participation Rate JAN 66.6% 66.6% 66.6%
11:00 AM ES Balance of Trade DEC €-3.31B € -7.8B
11:15 AM EA ECB Panetta Speech
03:30 PM US PPI MoM JAN -0.5% 0.4% 0.2%
03:30 PM US Building Permits Prel JAN 1.337M 1.353M 1.374M
03:30 PM US Housing Starts MoM JAN -1.4% -1.2%
03:30 PM US Building Permits MoM Prel JAN -1.0% 2.8%
03:30 PM US Housing Starts JAN 1.382M 1.365M 1.37M
03:30 PM US Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index FEB -8.9 -7.2 -7
03:30 PM US Core PPI MoM JAN 0.1% 0.3% 0.2%
03:30 PM US Initial Jobless Claims FEB/11 196K 200K 198.0K
03:30 PM US Jobless Claims 4-week Average FEB/11 189.25K 190.75K
03:30 PM US Continuing Jobless Claims FEB/04 1688K 1695K 1695.0K
03:30 PM US Core PPI YoY JAN 5.5% 4.9% 5.1%
03:30 PM US PPI YoY JAN 6.2% 5.4% 5.6%
03:30 PM US Philly Fed Business Conditions FEB 4.9 5.2
03:30 PM US Philly Fed Employment FEB 10.9 11
03:30 PM US Philly Fed Prices Paid FEB 24.5 23
03:30 PM US Philly Fed CAPEX Index FEB 10.5 10.7
03:30 PM US Philly Fed New Orders FEB -10.9 -9
03:45 PM US Fed Mester Speech 05:00 PM EA ECB Lane Speech
05:30 PM US EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change FEB/10 -217Bcf
07:00 PM GB BoE Pill Speech
08:00 PM US 30-Year TIPS Auction 0.920%
08:30 PM US Fed Bullard Speech
09:45 PM EA ECB Guindos Speech
11:00 PM US Fed Cook Speech
Thursday’s earnings reports: AR AWK AMAT BIO RDFN DOCN DASH DDOG ZBRA ROL SAGE TYL HAS RCM
Friday, February 17 2023
Actual Previous Consensus
12:30 AM AU RBA Gov Lowe Speech
01:00 AM US Fed Mester Speech
01:10 AM CA BoC Beaudry Speech
09:00 AM EU New Car Registrations YoY JAN 12.8%
09:00 AM DE PPI MoM JAN -0.4% 0.9%
09:00 AM DE PPI YoY JAN 21.6% 20.3%
09:00 AM GB Retail Sales MoM JAN -1% -0.5% -0.8%
09:00 AM GB Retail Sales YoY JAN -5.8% -5.5% -6.6%
09:00 AM GB Retail Sales ex Fuel MoM JAN -1.1% 0% -0.2%
09:00 AM GB Retail Sales ex Fuel YoY JAN -6.1% -5.3% -5.9%
09:45 AM FR Inflation Rate YoY Final JAN 5.9% 6% 6.0%
09:45 AM FR Inflation Rate MoM Final JAN -0.1% 0.4% 0.4%
09:45 AM FR Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM Final JAN -0.1% 0.4% 0.4%
09:45 AM FR Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY Final JAN 6.7% 7% 7.0%
11:00 AM EA Current Account s.a DEC €13.55B
11:00 AM EA Current Account DEC €13.41B € -9B
12:00 PM IT Current Account DEC €446M €250
03:30 PM CA Raw Materials Prices YoY JAN 7.5% 6.2%
03:30 PM CA Foreign Securities Purchases DEC C$12.76B C$ 13.1B
03:30 PM CA Foreign Securities Purchases by Canadians DEC C$14.13B
03:30 PM CA PPI MoM JAN -1.1% -0.1%
03:30 PM CA PPI YoY JAN 7.6% 4.8%
03:30 PM CA Raw Materials Prices MoM JAN -3.1% 0.4%
03:30 PM US Export Prices MoM JAN -2.6% -0.2% -1.2%
03:30 PM US Import Prices MoM JAN 0.4% -0.1% 0.3%
03:30 PM US Fed Barkin Speech
03:30 PM US Import Prices YoY JAN 3.5% 1.8%
03:30 PM US Export Prices YoY JAN 5% 3%
05:00 PM US CB Leading Index MoM JAN -0.8% -0.3% -0.4%
08:00 PM US Baker Hughes Total Rig Count FEB/17 761
08:00 PM US Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count FEB/17 609
Friday’s earnings reports: ATR B DE PPL CPS OEC ASIX
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